Category: Politics

Democrats by age, redux

This is the same chart as I made yesterday except, in addition to the colored bars which represent the age when they become president (and shows the full 8 years of their term), I ALSO overlaid the average life expectancy* (yellow diamonds) for that candidate based on the year they were born (I couldn’t make Google sheets do it so had to use Excel instead).

Obviously as time goes on, life expectancies have been increasing so I find it encouraging that most of the oldies running here are much closer to their average life expectancies than Reagan was. As such, depending on the problems that Reagan did or didn’t have, it seems that this is a much smaller concern for us going forward with this lot (except for maybe Bernie who is only slightly below his average than Reagan was for his (24 years vs. 27 for Reagan)).

Democrats by age

Ok, here is a view by age. The bars represent their age when (if!) they become president and shows the full 8 years of their term.

There are basically 3 groups here – the first are the kids, in their late 30s/early 40s, they would be younger than JFK by 4-5 years if they win to become the youngest US president by far. The mid-tier, from their mid-50s to late 60s makes up the bulk of the bunch. Finally, the oldies will be in their late 70s or older when they start. Elizabeth Warren would be the oldest president ever if she went 2 terms and Bernie would be the oldest president ever on day 1!

Frankly, I didn’t realize that Trump was older when Reagan when they started, so if he serves 2 terms, he will be the oldest president we have ever had.

Democratic field, a visualization

I feel like I’m a little late in getting up to speed on the rolling circus that will be the Democratic field for president. Working on some interesting visualizations… here is a start looking at prior government experience…

Robert debates Rafael… I mean Beto O’Rourke debates Ted Cruz

Both Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke and Rafael Edward Cruz joined the federal legislature representing Texas in 2013 – Beto in the House and Cruz in the Senate. Both are now vying for the next term of Cruz’s job in the Senate and the fact that a Republican incumbent in Texas has agreed to debates show just how tight things have become.

Some thoughts on the first debate from September 21st… Continue reading

Priebus Zoo

In the new Bob Woodward book, Fear: Trump in the White House, he vividly quotes Reince Priebus on the chaos of the Trump White House’s decision making. “When you put a snake and a rat and a falcon and a rabbit and a shark and a seal in a zoo without walls, things start getting nasty and bloody. That’s what happens.”

Reince Priebus Zoo
Frankly doesn’t look so bad to me.

One of these things is not like other…

My wife and I have frequently stated during the election that Kellyanne should take away Trump’s access to his twitter feed (and when I say Kellyanne, I really mean *anyone* on Trump’s staff) – unfiltered access to every thought that pops into his head makes him seem like a thin skinned capricious petty vindictive child.

It is now clear tho, for his sake at least, that if you can’t take away Trump’s access, you probably should at least take away Kellyanne’s… take a quick look at the last 3 tweets from el hombre del peluquín‘s twitter feed :

Watched protests yesterday but was under the impression that we just had an election! Why didn’t these people vote? Celebs hurt cause badly.

Wow, television ratings just out: 31 million people watched the Inauguration, 11 million more than the very good ratings from 4 years ago!

Peaceful protests are a hallmark of our democracy. Even if I don’t always agree, I recognize the rights of people to express their views.

Unlike the other 2, the third one sounds like it was written by adult. Moreover it is direct conflict in tone (if not a full contradiction) to the first. As such, (IMHO) is clearly not written by the same person.

There is a solid clarity of message which is lost when you try to correct for Trump’s missteps and while it still seems insane to me, his strategy/style is working for him. At the end of the day, you either need to totally reign him in or just “let Trump be Trump”. There is no middle ground and pretending any different is just SAD.

Believe me.

Unintentionally inappropriate… except with this guy, who the hell really knows if it was unintentional…

Really? Did Trump just say say he’s in “bang-her”?

Will be in Bangor, Maine today at 3pm- join me! #MAGA
Tickets: https://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/register/bangor-me1/

2 White Guys Debate

2 very distinct styles for disagreement emerged at the VP debate… Hermann Kaine (wait…) aggressively and obnoxiously interrupted Mike Pense at every opportunity while Pence showed his disapproval by vigorously frowning and shaking his head.

Is it me, or does Tim Kaine looks like the Skipper from Gilligan’s Island?

Tim KaineSkipper, Gilligan's Island

And Mike Pence definitely reminds me of that guy whose face melted in Raiders of the Lost Ark…

Mike PenseGuy whose face melted in Raiders of the Lost Ark

Some quick thoughts on the first Clinton/Trump debate

[sigh] The debate is over… a ridiculous amount of anticipation has left me feeling underwhelmed and empty. Overall, it was a pretty blah affair. Not a ton of excitement and very little new insight. It was entertaining marginally. It isn’t going to change anyone’s mind tho. The bases for both candidates are still affirmed that they chose the correct person and there wasn’t anything new or unique to sway the undecided voter.

Thoughts on the Hillary: Continue reading