It seems like the Democratic field is baked in and with the debates looming, figured I’d update this view from about 4 months back.
This is the same chart as I made yesterday except, in addition to the colored bars which represent the age when they become president (and shows the full 8 years of their term), I ALSO overlaid the average life expectancy* (yellow diamonds) for that candidate based on the year they were born (I couldn’t make Google sheets do it so had to use Excel instead).
Obviously as time goes on, life expectancies have been increasing so I find it encouraging that most of the oldies running here are much closer to their average life expectancies than Reagan was. As such, depending on the problems that Reagan did or didn’t have, it seems that this is a much smaller concern for us going forward with this lot (except for maybe Bernie who is only slightly below his average than Reagan was for his (24 years vs. 27 for Reagan)).
Ok, here is a view by age. The bars represent their age when (if!) they become president and shows the full 8 years of their term.
There are basically 3 groups here – the first are the kids, in their late 30s/early 40s, they would be younger than JFK by 4-5 years if they win to become the youngest US president by far. The mid-tier, from their mid-50s to late 60s makes up the bulk of the bunch. Finally, the oldies will be in their late 70s or older when they start. Elizabeth Warren would be the oldest president ever if she went 2 terms and Bernie would be the oldest president ever on day 1!
Frankly, I didn’t realize that Trump was older when Reagan when they started, so if he serves 2 terms, he will be the oldest president we have ever had.
I feel like I’m a little late in getting up to speed on the rolling circus that will be the Democratic field for president. Working on some interesting visualizations… here is a start looking at prior government experience…